- Smart Cookie Newsletter
- Posts
- Smart Cookie Newsletter - Issue #5
Smart Cookie Newsletter - Issue #5
Tackling the Impending Bakery Labor Crisis


Bakery Labor Crisis: Experts predict that by 2030, over 53,000 bakery positions will sit vacant.
Tackling the Impending Bakery Labor Crisis
Rising Challenge: A Shortage of Bakers
Labor shortages in the baking industry are reaching a crisis point. By 2030, experts forecast that over 53,000 bakery positions will sit vacant if significant action isn't taken. This escalating gap impacts every aspect of a bakery's operation—from daily production to long-term growth.
However, with challenge comes opportunity: savvy bakery owners and operators can adapt, innovate, and build resilient teams that are ready for the future.
What Can Bakery Leaders Do?
Here's how to transform this crisis into your bakery's competitive advantage:
Wage and Incentive Strategies
Boost Starting Pay
The first step to standing out as an employer of choice is competitive pay. Review local wage benchmarks regularly and be prepared to exceed them for key roles.
Offer Signing and Retention Bonuses
Launch short-term signing bonuses for new hires and retention bonuses for employees who commit to peak seasons or achieve new certifications. Flexible incentive plans can help weather seasonal surges or unexpected staff departures.
Training and Professional Development
Implement Structured Cross-Training
Multi-skilled team members who can handle five or more roles give your bakery enormous flexibility. Design a program that outlines the roles staff will rotate through, including mixing, baking, packing, customer service, and other tasks.
Partner with Baking Schools
Build relationships with local bakeries and culinary programs. Offer apprenticeships, work-study options, and clear career ladders. These programs create a direct talent pipeline and motivate young professionals to choose your bakery.
Invest in Leadership Development
Provide supervisor and managerial training. Promoting from within increases retention and builds loyalty; your next shift lead or department manager is likely already on the floor.
Cross-Training & Operational Resilience
Schedule Regular Job Rotations
Train staff to switch seamlessly between baking, decorating, packing, and customer interaction. This practice is vital during unexpected absences—it also keeps the workday engaging and productive.
Empower Technically Savvy Staff
Cross-train employees on basic troubleshooting for ovens, mixers, and other essential equipment. Including progressive training minimizes downtime and boosts confidence.
Launch Peer Mentoring
Set up mentoring programs pairing experienced bakers, assistant managers, or other trained employees with new hires. Structured mentoring supports faster onboarding, spreads institutional knowledge, and strengthens your culture.
Workforce Culture & Retention
Reward Advanced Skill-Building
Give public recognition, spot bonuses, or raises to staff who acquire new technical or leadership abilities. Acknowledge success openly: a bulletin board for certifications, shoutouts at team meetings, or highlights in the staff newsletter.
Build Career Pathways
Draw a visual map illustrating how entry-level roles can lead to higher positions or increased pay. For example: "Production Assistant → Decorator → Lead Decorator → Department Supervisor." This clarity boosts engagement and reduces turnover.
Your Desired Outcome
Implementing these strategies doesn't just address immediate hiring needs; it also addresses long-term talent development.
You'll foster a team that is:
Cohesive: Each member feels like a valued part of your mission.
Adaptable: Staff can pivot between tasks seamlessly as business needs shift.
Future-Ready: Ongoing development prepares your bakery for growth and change.
Action Steps for This Week
Audit your pay structure and identify opportunities for bonuses or incentives.
Create a cross-training calendar and assign peer mentors to facilitate practical training.
List local baking schools or culinary programs for partnership outreach.
Host a staff meeting to discuss new training opportunities and gather feedback on them.
The Bottom Line
There is no "one and done" solution in baking—the workforce you build is as vital as the recipes you perfect. Now is the time to:
Formalize onboarding and career pathways.
Hold staff and managers accountable for ongoing training and development.
Double down on culture, recognition, and advancement.

Addressing labor shortages directly and immediately will help to avoid labor issues in the next five years.
By addressing the labor shortage directly, you'll help your bakery stand out from the competition and establish the gold standard for team resilience in today's bakery industry.
Stay tuned for next week's strategies with The Smart Cookie—where your success is always on the rise.
Keep rising,
Jimmy MacMillan
Principal Chef, Consultant, Successful Bakery